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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 4/14/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted a terrific 42.4% of his 3-point shots this year, a big improvement over his 32.8 mark last year.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 5.3 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home.

The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup vs. the Atlanta Hawks is a good one for field goals; the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (55.3%).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league as the home team this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith measures in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 3.1 fouls per game while on his home court this year.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Hawks may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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