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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 4/3/2024

Brooklyn Nets vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last season's 41.0% rate, Aaron Nesmith's shooting efficiency has surged this season to 48.6%.

Aaron Nesmith has sunk an impressive 44.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, a significant increase from his 32.8 rate last year.

The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up 19.5 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Nets, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive output.

The quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith measures in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 3.3 fouls per game this year.

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which should decrease plays for the Indiana Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production across the board.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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