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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 4/1/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk a whopping 48.5% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a sizeable increase from his 41.0 rate last season.

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made a terrific 44.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, significantly more than his 32.8 rate last year.

When it comes to scoring, the Pacers's superb 122.6 points per game settles in as the highest in the NBA this year.

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have scored 19.5 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, making this a strong matchup for offensive productivity.

The Pacers have played at the speediest pace in the league as the home team this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Nets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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