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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Los Angeles Lakers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last year's 32.8% rate, Aaron Nesmith's 3-point proficiency has spiked this year to 44.9%.

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a positive matchup.

The speediest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Pacers.

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 6th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith ranks in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 3.1 fouls per game while at home this year.

In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Pacers's unimpressive 20.7 free throws per game while playing at home comes in as the 7th-worst in the league this year.

The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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