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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/20/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+107/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made a whopping 49.4% of his field goal attempts this year, a significant increase from his 41.0 rate last year.

Relative to last season's 32.8% mark, Aaron Nesmith's three-point effectiveness has increased this season to 45.3%.

Aaron Nesmith has played 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's played overall this year.

In regard to offense, the Pacers's outstanding 122.6 points per game settles in as the strongest in the league this year.

The matchup vs. Detroit is a positive one; when the Pistons are on their home court, they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 16 games (19.5).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (100th percentile).

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 7thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with only 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Aaron Nesmith will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower stat production in all facets of the game.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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