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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/16/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk a terrific 45.7% of his three-pointers this season, a sizeable increase from his 32.8 mark last season.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Brooklyn Nets is a strong one; they have given up the most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (19.5).

The fastest pace home team in the league this year has been the Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The Pacers will likely see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Brooklyn Nets).

The Pacers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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