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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/10/2024

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made a whopping 49.5% of his shot attempts from the field this year, significantly higher than his 41.0 mark last year.

Compared to last year's 32.8% mark, Aaron Nesmith's 3-point effectiveness has jumped this year to 45.8%.

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 1.9 three-pointers per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, labeling this as a strong matchup.

The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's been called for overall this season.

The Indiana Pacers will likely see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Orlando Magic).

As it relates to drawing fouls, the Indiana Pacers's feeble 18.8 foul shots per game ranks 6th-worst in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Over the last 25 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Aaron Nesmith should suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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