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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made 46.2% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.

In terms of shooting, the Pacers's excellent 123.3 points per game rates most in the NBA this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA at home this year.

While on the road, the Timberwolves have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has failed to convert 5.0 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's missed overall this year playing at home.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home.

The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one for field goals; opposing starting SFs have compiled the 13th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (40.6%).

The Indiana Pacers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

The Indiana Pacers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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