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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 2/22/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In regard to offense, the Indiana Pacers's fantastic 123.5 points per game settles in as the most in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Detroit is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Detroit Pistons are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have compiled the 27th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (45.0%).

The quickest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to boost opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.

Over the last 20 games, opposing squads have collected 8.5 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Indiana Pacers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have attempted 26.2 foul shots per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, easily managing to draw fouls.

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