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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 2/12/2024

Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 56.6% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 5.6% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 43.9% of his three-point shots while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 6.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road.

When it comes to shooting, the Pacers's exceptional 123.8 points per game measures as the strongest in the NBA this year.

The Pacers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (99th percentile).

Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 13.3 points per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Hornets, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency.

The Pacers are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hornets).

The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduce stat production in all facets of the game.

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