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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2024

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 6.0 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 higher than he's made in all games this season.

Among all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith places in the 89th percentile for 3-point performance when playing away from home with a an impressive 44.0% rate this year.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 33.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 higher than he's tallied overall this year.

In regard to scoring, the Pacers's exceptional 123.8 points per game comes in as the highest in the NBA this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against New York is a difficult one for scoring; when the Knicks are at home, opposing starting SFs have posted the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (33.3%).

The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) against the Knicks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Aaron Nesmith will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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