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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 2/2/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 57.2% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games at home, 5.6% more than he's sunk overall this year while at home.

Aaron Nesmith has converted 3.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.8 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.

The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a positive one for three-pointers; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 28th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.3).

The speediest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been lousy at drawing fouls in recent days: worst in the league over the last 5 games, drawing just 16.0 free throws per game.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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