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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 11.2 shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

In regard to shooting, the Pacers's superb 126.7 points per game while playing at home settles in as the best in the league this year.

The Pacers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA this year.

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 95.2% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games at home, 15.8% higher than he's converted overall this season while playing at home.

Aaron Nesmith ought to get a boost in productivity in all facets of the game in light of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith slots into the 90th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.8 fouls per game while playing at home this year.

This year, the other team's starting SFs have compiled 11.3 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the 76ers, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive production.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Philadelphia 76ers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.3) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

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