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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made 59.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on his home court.

Aaron Nesmith has converted 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.

In regard to scoring, the Pacers's excellent 125.9 points per game comes in as the highest in the league this year.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 7.0 buckets per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Bucks, making this a positive matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the league playing at home with only 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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