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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 1/1/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's sunk overall this season.

The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a positive one; they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8).

The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the quickest tempo in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase plays for the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 3.4 fouls per game this year.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 6thworst in in the league with only 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, their opposition has come down with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks (preserving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).

Aaron Nesmith stands to suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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