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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Indiana Pacers vs LA Clippers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 54.8% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 5.9% more than he's converted overall this year.

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 5.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this year.

As it relates to offense, the Indiana Pacers's excellent 126.6 points per game measures as the most in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Clippers is a hard one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (108.9).

The quickest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Pacers.

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 6thworst in in the league with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The Clippers have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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