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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last season's 32.8% rate, Aaron Nesmith's 3-point efficiency has risen this season to 42.3%.

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 4.9 three-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 3.8 mark last year.

With respect to offense, the Indiana Pacers's impressive 127.5 points per game comes in as the highest in the NBA this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.

The Pistons have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 3.3 clip, Aaron Nesmith's personal fouls per game have risen this year to 4.0.

The matchup against the Pistons is a positive one; when playing away from home they have given up the 8th-most points per game in the league to opposing clubs this year (118.2).

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a good one for getting to the foul line; when the Pistons are at home, opposing teams have attempted an enormous 26.6 free throws per game this year (2nd-most in the league).

Aaron Nesmith will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player production in all stat categories.

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