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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made a whopping 48.6% of his field goals this season, a significant increase from his 41.0 mark last season.

Relative to last year's 32.8% mark, Aaron Nesmith's 3-point performance has spiked this year to 52.9%.

In terms of shooting, the Indiana Pacers's stellar 126.0 points per game while playing away from home measures as the highest in the NBA this year.

This matchup is a hard one; when the Philadelphia 76ers have the home court advantage, they have given up the 8th-least points per game in the league to opposing teams this year (109.4).

The 2nd-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith rates in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.2 fouls per game since the start of last season.

This matchup is a good one for three-point attempts; opposing teams have averaged the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games when the Philadelphia 76ers are the visiting squad (36.6).

The Pacers check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; when the 76ers are away from home, opposing squads have attempted a whopping 22.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the NBA).

Aaron Nesmith is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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