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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-103/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made a whopping 48.5% of his shots from the field this season, significantly higher than his 41.0 mark last season.

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made a terrific 54.3% of his attempts from downtown this year, a big improvement over his 32.8 mark last year.

The Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a hard one; they have given up the 7th-least points per game in the league to opposing teams this year (107.4).

The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game on his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have collected 11.4 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the 76ers (preserving possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).

This year, opposing teams have attempted 23.8 free throws per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the 76ers, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Aaron Nesmith will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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