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Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 75th percentile for three-pointers hit playing at home, putting up 1.6 per game since the start of last season.The Indiana Pacers check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home since the start of last season.Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, opposing squads have averaged 30.6 three attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, designating this as a tough matchup.The quickest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 83.0% of his free throws since the start of last season, putting him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith rates in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 3.2 fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season.In terms of scoring, the Pacers's lackluster 47.4% field goal percentage away from their home court places 8th-weakest in the league since the start of last season.The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.Without the home court advantage, the Cavaliers have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
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