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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 11/1/2023

Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pacers have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.

The 3rd-quickest pace team in the league since the start of last season has been the Indiana Pacers.

With the home court advantage, the Celtics have given up the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 84.7% of his free throws while at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.

This matchup is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing squads have attempted a measly 20.9 free throws per game when the Celtics are the visiting team since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith lands in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 3.2 fouls per game since the start of last season.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the league while on the road since the start of last season.

The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season (the Boston Celtics).

Aaron Nesmith will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduces player performance in all stat categories.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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