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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 10/25/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made a whopping 41.0% of his shots from the field this season, significantly higher than his 33.2 mark last season.

The matchup against the Wizards is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team has totaled the 4th-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (32.0).

The Pacers have played at the speediest tempo in the league away from their home court this year.

The Pacers will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Wizards).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 10thbest in in the league while playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.1 fouls per game last season.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Wizards (lengthening possessions that can produce further chances for offense).

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