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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted a terrific 40.7% of his field goals this season, significantly more than his 33.2 mark last season.

Aaron Nesmith has converted 2.5 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made overall this season while playing at home.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 6.8 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year at home.

The matchup against the Thunder is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 29th-highest three percentage in the league this year (42.5%).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league while playing at home this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.1 fouls per game last year.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.

The Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

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