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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/20/2023

Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup against the Hornets is a strong one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 25th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.2).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 33.7% of his field goal attempts when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 0.7 treys per game over the last 15 games, -1.2 lower than he's attempted overall this season.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 3.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -5.8 less than he's been on the court for in all games this year.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league on the road this year.

The Hornets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Pacers.

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