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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/18/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (22nd percentile).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boosts stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 33.2% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 8th percentile among all players in the league.

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 22.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, putting him in the 14th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 8.9 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the league: 12th percentile.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 7th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The matchup against the 76ers is a tough one for three-pointers; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 12th-least threes per game in the NBA this year (1.1).

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