My Account Log Out

reorder

Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/16/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

The Bucks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 33.7% of his field goal attempts while on the road this year, ranking him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 0.7 threes per game over the last 15 games, -1.2 lower than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 3.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -5.8 less than he's tallied over the course of the season.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league on the road this year.

The matchup against Milwaukee is a difficult one; when the Bucks are playing at home, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 20 games (11.2).

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™