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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/13/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pistons have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Pistons may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 33.7% of his shots from the field when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 0.7 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, -1.2 less than he's attempted in all games this year.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 3.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -5.8 lower than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league away from home this year.

The matchup against the Pistons is a tough one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 9th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (45.1%).

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