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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Pistons may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 33.7% of his field goals away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the league.

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 0.7 threes per game over the last 15 games, -1.2 less than he's attempted in all games this year.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 3.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -5.8 lower than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year.

The matchup against the Pistons is a challenging one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have posted the 9th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (45.1%).

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