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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/9/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (22nd percentile).

The matchup against the Rockets is a strong one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (16.0).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Rockets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more plays for the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has made 33.2% of his field goals this year, ranking in the 8th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 22.6% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking in the 14th percentile out of all players in the league.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 8.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the NBA: 12th percentile.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 7th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The Rockets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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