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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 2/11/2023

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from three in all games this year.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year.

The matchup against Rui Hachimura is a positive one for scoring; when Hachimura is at home fellow starting PFs since the start of last season, they have successfully made a massive 54.1% of their field goal attempts (100th percentile).

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 17.9% more than he's converted over the course of the year while on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on the road.

The Wizards have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home, which ought to reduce plays for the Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lowers player performance across the board.

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