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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 2/2/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Los Angeles Lakers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made an impressive 40.0% of his field goals this year, a big improvement over his 33.2 mark last year.

This matchup is a favorable one for threes; the other team have shot for the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (34.1%).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.

The Lakers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's been called for overall this year.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.

The Lakers have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Lakers may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted a lowly 26.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (5th-least in the league).

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