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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 92.9% of his free throws over the last 15 games on the road, 12.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season while on the road.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (which can also produce new chances for scoring and assists).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Grizzlies.

The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a positive one for scoring; the other team have compiled the highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (45.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 39.7% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Aaron Nesmith has committed 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's committed overall this year.

The Grizzlies have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games at home (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road as it relates to shots made from the field.

The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a challenging one for scoring; at home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the least baskets per game in the league this year (4.7).

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