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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 1/18/2023

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 18.4% higher than he's made over the course of the year while playing away from home.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

The Pacers have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Thunder.

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a favorable one for shots from the field; their opposition have compiled the 6th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (46.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (96th percentile).

The Thunder have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Thunder may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted just 25.9 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the league).

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year when playing away from home (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a hard one for 3-point attempts; while on their home court, opposing starting PFs have totaled the 6th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (3.6).

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