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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 1/16/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 50.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 8.1% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 18.4% higher than he's converted over the course of the year when playing on the road.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (which also produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (96th percentile).

The Bucks have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a tough one for field goals; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (42.4%).

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league).

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