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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 1/14/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 58.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.0% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season while playing at home.

Aaron Nesmith has made 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 more than he's put through the net overall this year while playing at home.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.5 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (which also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA this year at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.0 more than he's been called for over the course of the season at home.

The Grizzlies have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Grizzlies is a difficult one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (13.1).

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