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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Portland Trail Blazers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has posted 14.8 points per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 4.6 more than he's posted overall this year at home.

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 8.5% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 4.7 more than he's tallied in all games this season at home.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's been called for in all games this season.

The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a hard one; they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (114.2).

The Pacers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a challenging one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 6th-lowest field goal rate in the league since the start of last season (44.7%).

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