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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 50.8% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 9.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.
  • Aaron Nesmith has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 9.0% higher than he's sunk overall this season.
  • The Indiana Pacers rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The Indiana Pacers have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.
  • The matchup against the 76ers is a strong one; they have allowed the most points per game in the league to their opposition this year (108.3).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
  • The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
  • The Pacers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the 76ers.
  • Aaron Nesmith will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers player performance across the board.

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