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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 1/2/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 54.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 12.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Aaron Nesmith has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 9.6% higher than he's made over the course of the season.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.

The Raptors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (which can also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.

The Pacers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should decrease plays for the Raptors.

The matchup against the Raptors is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.9 foul shots per game since the start of last season (5th-least in the league).

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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