Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2026

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Aaron Nesmith

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Nesmith

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 21, 2026

Updated Jan 22, 2026 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.8 three attempts per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Celtics, creating a good matchup.
The 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 10th-best in in the league as the away team with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

In regard to three-pointers, the Pacers's feeble 33.1% rate of made threes away from home comes in as the 2nd-weakest in the NBA this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Pacers.

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