Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2025

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Aaron Nesmith

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Nesmith

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Made 3 Point Shots

Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic · Dec 31, 2025

Updated Dec 31, 2025 7:51 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA on their home court over the last 17 games has been the Pacers.
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 2.3 3-pointers per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Magic, branding this as a strong matchup.

Favors Under

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Magic).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 7thworst in in the league with a mere 10.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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