Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2025

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Aaron Nesmith

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Nesmith

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 27, 2025

Updated Dec 28, 2025 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Heat is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).
The Miami Heat have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pacers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 10th-best in in the league while playing away from home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 14 games.

Favors Under

When it comes to three-pointers, the Indiana Pacers's lackluster 32.6% rate of successful threes rates lowest in the NBA this year.
The Pacers have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

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