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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 6/13/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -240 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 2.7 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's converted overall this year.

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Pacers's outstanding 39.2% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 3rd-best in the league over the last 15 games.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA this year.

The Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Indiana Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith ought to get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The matchup against the Thunder is a difficult one for threes; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (25.5%).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 7.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

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