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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 5/29/2025

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-210/+155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -230 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 4.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.8 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season without the home court advantage.

Aaron Nesmith has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 8.1 higher than he's played overall this year on the road.

The Pacers rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.

The 9th-fastest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

The matchup against New York is a hard one for threes; when the Knicks are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 6th-least three-pointers per game in the league this year (1.3).

The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Aaron Nesmith will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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