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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 5/21/2025

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made 3.0 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season when playing on the road.

In terms of shots from downtown, the Pacers's fantastic 40.5% rate of converted threes ranks strongest in the league over the last 10 games.

The Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's tallied in all games this year.

This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 1.3 three-pointers per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, designating this as a difficult matchup.

The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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