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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 5/4/2025

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made 2.8 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year away from his home court.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied overall this year.

The Pacers have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.

This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 3.9 3-point attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, identifying this as a challenging matchup.

The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Pacers.

The Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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