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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/29/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-210/+155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has converted 52.4% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 8.8% higher than he's converted from three overall this year.
  • The Pacers rank as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league at home this year.
  • The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a positive one for 3-point attempts; when the Bucks are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).
  • The 7th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
  • Aaron Nesmith is expected to see a rise in productivity for all stats in light of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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