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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/27/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 53.1% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 9.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
  • The Indiana Pacers check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home as it relates to 3-point attempts.
  • The Pacers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team.
  • The Bucks have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should increase opportunities for the Pacers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
  • The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a tough one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the league over the last 25 games when the Bucks have the home court advantage (3.8).
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 9.1 offensive boards per game this year.
  • Aaron Nesmith will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player production for all stats.

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