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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/25/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-136/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -138 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 2.7 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season without the home court advantage.

Aaron Nesmith has played 27.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 4.3 more than he's played in all games this season on the road.

Relative to last year's 3.5 mark, Aaron Nesmith's personal fouls per game have been reduced this year to 2.5.

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Pacers's impressive 38.9% rate of sunk threes as the visting team comes in as the 6th-most in the league over the last 5 games.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Milwaukee is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 25 games when the Bucks are at home (3.8).

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will likely suffer a reduction in productivity for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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