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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/22/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-136/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +118 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith registers in the 89th percentile for three-point efficiency at home with a very good 43.3% rate this year.

In regard to 3-pointers, the Pacers's superb 37.7% rate of made threes with the home court advantage rates 7th-most in the league this year.

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 5.6 3-point attempts per game (5th-most in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a good matchup.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league this year.

Aaron Nesmith will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (92nd percentile).

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Indiana Pacers.

The Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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