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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/19/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 54.1% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 11.1% higher than he's converted from three overall this season.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing at home this year.

The matchup against Milwaukee is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.6).

The Pacers have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Aaron Nesmith will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (91st percentile).

The Bucks have played at the 9th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Pacers.

The Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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